| August
9 , 2003
Four Western Provinces re Social Survey
ROBBINS-SCE
Research
(604) 942-3757
For immediate Release:
This is a survey of 3,200
respondents throughout British Columbia,
Alberta, Saskatchewan and Manitoba. All
respondents were pre-qualified in that
they voted in the last federal general
election in 2000. Percentages were nominally
reconciled with respondent allocation
to match ‘ballots cast’ in
each province during the federal general
election in 2000. The survey was conducted
July 17 to July 27, 2003.This survey was
again partly sponsored by Reform BC.
British Columbia 1,400
respondents
Alberta 1,100 respondents
Saskatchewan 350 respondents
Manitoba 350 respondents
Question #1
If a general election were
held in Canada tomorrow for which federal
Leader and their party would you cast
your vote?
Stephen Harper and Canadian
Alliance - 42%
Jean Chretien and Liberals - 24%
Peter McKay and Progressive
Conservative - 13%
Jack Leighton and New Democratic
Party - 13%
Other/Undecided - 08%
Question #2
In your opinion, should Canada
retain the traditional definition of marriage
(between a man and a woman)?
Yes - 83%
No - 17%
Question #3
Currently, the population
of women in Canada exceeds 50%. However,
women currently hold only one-fifth or
20% of the federal seats in the House
of Commons in Ottawa. Same-sex marriage
has been made legal in Ontario and British
Columbia to accommodate same-sex couples.
As a measure of social progress, which
of the following goals of social progress
is most important to you?
a) Seeing more women elected
as Members of Parliament in the federal
House of Commons;
b) Legalizing same-sex marriage across
Canada;
c) I don’t care for either of these
goals of social progress
a) 54% b) 12% c) 33%
Question #4
Do you agree or disagree with
using the death penalty as punishment
in some circumstances?
Agree - 76%
Disagree - 24%
Question #5
Do you agree or disagree with
the use of Euthanasia (mercy killing)
in some circumstances?
Agree - 63%
Disagree - 37%
Question #6
Do you agree or disagree with
a woman’s right to demand an abortion
in any circumstances?
Disagree - 71%
Agree - 29%
Question #7
Do you have confidence in
Canada’s legal system and it’s
administration of justice?
NO - 76%
YES - 24%
Commentary
Support for The Federal Liberals and the
Canadian Alliance has dropped in the four
Western Provinces. The Progressive Conservative
and NDP parties are experiencing modest
growth in all provinces from their 2000
totals.
Justice Minister Cauchon
has indicated that the issue of legalizing
same-sex marriages will define the next
federal election in Canada. A recent poll
done by the French firm Ipsos suggests
support for legalizing same-sex marriage
across Canada at 55%. Our survey shows
overwhelming support of Western Canadians
to retain the traditional definition of
marriage as between a man and a woman.
Stephen Harper and the
Alliance Party is on the record as unequivocally
supporting the traditional definition
of marriage.
Our third question reveals
that only 12% support legalizing same-sex
marriages and that it is not a priority
to Western Canadians.
76% of Western Canadians
have a very practical view of life, death,
responsibility, and accountability. They
believe without reservation, that killers,
particularly those who kill for pleasure,
those who kill women, children and police
officers don’t respect our way of
life, so why should we respect their right
to live. To be blunt, western Canadians
of both sexes want very badly to see ‘real
bad people’ put to death.
There is support for euthanasia,
but 63% of respondents see this as a direct
link to a family member, than with the
death penalty, where there may be no personal
tie, or to a women’s right to demand
an abortion.
71% of Western Canadians
do not want to hear about a woman’s
right to an abortion anymore. They agree
with a women’s right to choose to
have an abortion, but they also expect
a woman to protect herself from becoming
pregnant. With health care costs an omnipresent
issue, respondents are not sympathetic
to special interest groups who continue
to make socio-economic alibis, when basic
personal responsibility is the critical
issue here.
Respondents do not want
to see politicians debating the issue
from religious grounds. The public currently
does not see the church as the medium
for discussions around morality. They
do not believe the church has sufficient
credibility to comment now that BC Attorney
General Geoff Plant supports the legalization
of same-sex marriages, the churches are
pretty quiet on the matter.
British Columbia Survey
In addition to questions
asked in the four western provinces, BC
respondents were asked the following questions
Question #1
(Supporters of Alliance) were
asked:
In your opinion, should the current Canadian
Alliance MP’s in British Columbia
align them selves with:
a) The BC Reform Party, www.reformbc.net
which supports the traditional definition
of marriage; or
b) Gordon Campbell’s BC Liberal
government, www.bcliberals.com that supports
the legalization of same-sex marriages.
a) 86%
b) 14%
Question #2
In your opinion, should lawyers
be authorized to investigate and pass
judgement upon complaints made against
other lawyers by members of the public?
No - 72%
Yes - 28%
Question #3
In your opinion, should doctors
be authorized to investigate and pass
judgement on complaints made against other
doctors by members of the public?
No - 64%
Yes - 36%
Question #4
In your opinion should police
officers be authorized to investigate
and pass judgement on complaints made
against other police officers by members
of the public?
No - 56%
Yes - 44%
Question #5
In your opinion, should members
of the clergy be authorized to investigate
and pass judgement on complaints made
against other members of the clergy by
members of the public?
No - 82%
Yes - 18%
Question #6
The BC provincial government
has featured six Premiers in little over
one decade. In your opinion, has the current
government earned the right to be deemed
legitimate and credible in your opinion?
No - 77%
Yes - 23%
Commentary
The responses in the BC
Survey signify a number of interesting
considerations. First of all, The Canadian
Alliance Party must reconsider its political
affiliations in the province of BC. In
order to ‘shore up’ its position
in the Western Provinces, Alliance MP’s
are compelled to ‘purify’
their most western flank in BC, and wherever
possible rid itself of BC Liberal partisans.
Our internal research indicates that The
Canadian Alliance Party will not find
success in Ontario, and have not yet satisfied
their ambitions in Manitoba. The Alliance
Party cannot lose it’s western flank
in British Columbia, which will pinch
Alberta and Saskatchewan between Manitoba-Ontario
and BC, thus neutralizing an essential
component of the identity of the party
consistent with it’s reformation
“roots”.
There are many Alliance
supporters who still long for the heady
days of Reform. 86% of Alliance supporters
agree that the Reform Party is the natural
counterpart to the Alliance Party. It
is a heritage that should be embraced;
to abandon it. Will expose the Alliance
Party as new, and allow the Progressive
Conservative Party to speak to it’s
much longer history, not simply a Mulroney
past. The Reform name is a reminder to
Alliance Members why a new type of conservatism
was necessary in the first place. Isolated,
without a proper sense of its history,
the Alliance exists in the abstract, without
a sense of historical significance.
Questions 2 through 6 signify
that British Columbians do not trust professionals
to investigate complaints against their
own. Respondents were often quick to answer
“No” to this question. The
public lacks confidence in the established
bodies that regulate their respective
professions.
The Church also has a real
credibility problem according to respondents
in this survey. British Columbians do
not have confidence in established religious
institutions.
In a exclusive interview
with CNN and the Reverend Gene Robinson
priest of the diocese of New Hampshire
on his nomination for the title of Bishop,
the following question was asked. “What
would you say to people who never the
less feel uncomfortable with the notion
of an openly gay priest becoming a Bishop?”
Mr. Robinson’s response was “several
things, one is I’m not the first
gay Bishop. Their have always been gay
Bishops throughout the church and in every
denomination…"
While the BC Liberals continue
to assume that they hold public trust
polls clearly show otherwise. This survey
also reveals a rapidly decreasing public
confidence in all sectors of public service
including current government.
Polls indicate a loss of
public confidence in Premier Campbell’s
ability to represent public opinion
Sincerely,
Glen Robbins
-30-
For
More Information contact:
Ron Gamble, Leader
PO Box 466, Surrey Main Surrey, BC V3T
5B7
Phone: 604-980-7779
E-mail: info@reformbc.net
Web site: www.reformbc.net
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