PRESS RELEASE

Sent: May 17, 2003 9:53 AM

"Surveys without the spin"

ROBBINS-SCE Research
(604) 942-3757
For immediate Release

Coquitlam-An aggregate survey of 5,372 respondents in 79 ridings between April 7, 2003 and May 10, 2003 relating to percentage of popular vote attributable to each political party in British Columbia and seats attributable to each party if an election were held tomorrow. The error rate is 2.5%, 19 times out of 20 @ 98% competency rate.

Political Party percentage of popular vote
BC Liberal 40%
NDP 31%
Green 12%
Reform BC 08%
Unity Party 06%

 

Number of Definite Seats*

BC Liberal 30
NDP 18
Reform BC 2
Green 0
Unity Party 0

*A definite seat is one where the political party has a lead of 5 percentage points or more.

Number of competitive seats-29**

BC Liberals and NDP compete in 29 seats

**A competitive seat is one where the political parties are within less than 5 percentage points of the other.

Commentary

Much has been said in the media about the state of affairs in BC politics after two years of the BC Liberals in office. We have recently published percentages of public support for BC political parties based on a riding-by-riding basis. This is consistent with first past the post, or conventional electoral voting in the province. This survey reflects the popular vote, as some ridings in the province have lower turnouts for voting than others vote.

Although the riding-by-riding percentages are consistent with our electoral system and reflect circumstances as they are, the popular vote provides insight as well.

Glen P. Robbins
BA Political Science

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For More Information contact:

Ron Gamble, Leader
PO Box 466, Surrey Main Surrey, BC V3T 5B7
Phone: 604-980-7779
E-mail: info@reformbc.net
Web site: www.reformbc.net